{ "tool": "h1b-lottery-odds", "name": "H-1B lottery odds calculator", "url": "https://visaful.com/tools/h1b-lottery-odds", "version": "1.0.0", "updated": "2026-10-31", "description": "Free tool: H-1B cap selection rates for FY 2021 to FY 2026 from USCIS's published registration and selection counts, with a plain estimate of the odds per year and what changed for FY 2027.", "sources": [ { "id": "uscis", "label": "H-1B Electronic Registration Process, uscis.gov (last reviewed September 21, 2026)", "url": "https://www.uscis.gov/working-in-the-united-states/temporary-workers/h-1b-specialty-occupations/h-1b-electronic-registration-process", "checked": "2026-10-31" } ], "inputs": [ { "id": "year", "label": "Which cap year?", "options": [ { "value": "2026", "label": "FY 2026" }, { "value": "2025", "label": "FY 2025" }, { "value": "2024", "label": "FY 2024" }, { "value": "2023", "label": "FY 2023" }, { "value": "2022", "label": "FY 2022" }, { "value": "2021", "label": "FY 2021" }, { "value": "2027+", "label": "FY 2027 and later" } ] } ], "howToUse": [ "`data.years` is USCIS's Historical Data table: total, eligible and selected registrations per cap fiscal year, plus eligible registrations for people with one or several registrations. `rate` is selected / eligible.", "`data.beneficiaries` holds USCIS's approximate counts of eligible unique beneficiaries and registrations per person for FY 2025 and FY 2026 (the beneficiary-centric years).", "Quote rates as per eligible registration, not as a personal probability. USCIS publishes no odds by degree, wage level or country, and no FY 2027 counts on this page." ], "outcomes": [ { "year": 2021, "headline": "46.2% of eligible H-1B registrations were selected for FY 2021, about 1 in 2.", "rate": "46.2%", "lines": [ { "text": "USCIS selected 124,415 of 269,424 eligible registrations for FY 2021, out of 274,237 submitted.", "source": "uscis" }, { "text": "Before FY 2025, each registration was its own entry. 28,125 eligible registrations that year were for people with more than one.", "source": "uscis" } ] }, { "year": 2022, "headline": "43.8% of eligible H-1B registrations were selected for FY 2022, about 1 in 2.", "rate": "43.8%", "lines": [ { "text": "USCIS selected 131,924 of 301,447 eligible registrations for FY 2022, out of 308,613 submitted.", "source": "uscis" }, { "text": "That's down from 46.2% for FY 2021.", "source": "uscis" }, { "text": "Before FY 2025, each registration was its own entry. 90,143 eligible registrations that year were for people with more than one.", "source": "uscis" } ] }, { "year": 2023, "headline": "26.9% of eligible H-1B registrations were selected for FY 2023, about 1 in 4.", "rate": "26.9%", "lines": [ { "text": "USCIS selected 127,600 of 474,421 eligible registrations for FY 2023, out of 483,927 submitted.", "source": "uscis" }, { "text": "That's down from 43.8% for FY 2022.", "source": "uscis" }, { "text": "Before FY 2025, each registration was its own entry. 165,180 eligible registrations that year were for people with more than one.", "source": "uscis" } ] }, { "year": 2024, "headline": "24.8% of eligible H-1B registrations were selected for FY 2024, about 1 in 4.", "rate": "24.8%", "lines": [ { "text": "USCIS selected 188,400 of 758,994 eligible registrations for FY 2024, out of 780,884 submitted.", "source": "uscis" }, { "text": "That's down from 26.9% for FY 2023.", "source": "uscis" }, { "text": "Before FY 2025, each registration was its own entry. 408,891 eligible registrations that year were for people with more than one.", "source": "uscis" } ] }, { "year": 2025, "headline": "28.7% of eligible H-1B registrations were selected for FY 2025, about 1 in 3.", "rate": "28.7%", "lines": [ { "text": "USCIS selected 135,137 of 470,342 eligible registrations for FY 2025, out of 479,953 submitted.", "source": "uscis" }, { "text": "That's up from 24.8% for FY 2024.", "source": "uscis" }, { "text": "FY 2025 used the beneficiary-centric selection, which selects people rather than registrations. USCIS counted about 442,000 eligible people and 1.06 registrations per person. Being registered by more employers doesn't add chances.", "source": "uscis" } ] }, { "year": 2026, "headline": "34.9% of eligible H-1B registrations were selected for FY 2026, about 1 in 3.", "rate": "34.9%", "lines": [ { "text": "USCIS selected 120,141 of 343,981 eligible registrations for FY 2026, out of 358,737 submitted.", "source": "uscis" }, { "text": "That's up from 28.7% for FY 2025.", "source": "uscis" }, { "text": "FY 2026 used the beneficiary-centric selection, which selects people rather than registrations. USCIS counted about 339,000 eligible people and 1.01 registrations per person. Being registered by more employers doesn't add chances.", "source": "uscis" } ] }, { "year": "2027+", "headline": "USCIS hasn't published FY 2027 registration counts on its page, so no rate yet.", "rate": null, "lines": [ { "text": "USCIS says it received enough petitions to reach the 65,000 regular cap and the 20,000 advanced degree exemption (the master's cap) for FY 2027.", "source": "uscis" }, { "text": "Registrants now give the highest OEWS wage level the offered wage meets, and if a random selection is needed, USCIS runs a weighted selection based generally on that wage level. So a higher wage level means better odds, but USCIS doesn't publish odds by level.", "source": "uscis" }, { "text": "The latest published rate is FY 2026: 34.9% of eligible registrations were selected.", "source": "uscis" } ] } ], "data": { "years": [ { "fy": 2021, "total": 274237, "eligible": 269424, "single": 241299, "multiple": 28125, "selected": 124415, "rate": 0.4618 }, { "fy": 2022, "total": 308613, "eligible": 301447, "single": 211304, "multiple": 90143, "selected": 131924, "rate": 0.4376 }, { "fy": 2023, "total": 483927, "eligible": 474421, "single": 309241, "multiple": 165180, "selected": 127600, "rate": 0.269 }, { "fy": 2024, "total": 780884, "eligible": 758994, "single": 350103, "multiple": 408891, "selected": 188400, "rate": 0.2482 }, { "fy": 2025, "total": 479953, "eligible": 470342, "single": 423028, "multiple": 47314, "selected": 135137, "rate": 0.2873 }, { "fy": 2026, "total": 358737, "eligible": 343981, "single": 336153, "multiple": 7828, "selected": 120141, "rate": 0.3493 } ], "beneficiaries": { "2025": { "people": 442000, "employers": 52700, "perPerson": 1.06 }, "2026": { "people": 339000, "employers": 57600, "perPerson": 1.01 } }, "read": "2026-10-31" }, "disclaimer": "Published USCIS counts, not a prediction or legal advice. Visaful is not affiliated with the U.S. government or USCIS." }